From§Each

The futures file · every date somebody in power set, and what was standing there when it arrived

14 October 2026Set

September CPI, and with it next year's Social Security raise

September's inflation figures land at 8:30 this morning, and the Social Security raise for 2027 is set by them. The promise was no tax on Social Security. What passed was a $6,000 deduction for people over 65 that phases out above $75,000, expires after 2028, and leaves about 24 million people still owing tax on their benefits.

The agency that sends the checks is down about 7,000 staff, to its smallest workforce in decades. The retirement trust fund is projected to run dry in late 2032, after which 78 cents of every scheduled dollar is payable. Today's number adjusts the dollar. Nothing adjusts the 78 cents.

The receipts

  1. The release schedule
  2. "No tax on Social Security," rated Mostly False
  3. What the deduction actually is
  4. About 24 million still owe the tax
  5. The trustees' 2032 projection

This page is a row in the futures file. It changes when the date does: set, then kept, moved or missed. A date that came due with nobody to settle it says so, in public, until somebody settles it. The whole timeline runs at the foot of the front page.